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Investment Perspectives Third Quarter 2008
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The U.S. economy has been amazingly resilient over the past twelve months. If
presented with the scenario of collapsing real estate prices, oil at $140 per barrel, gasoline
prices in excess of $4.00 per gallon, and hundreds of billions of dollars of charge offs in
the financial sector of the economy, with many of the largest financial companies brought
to their knees, most economists would have predicted a fairly severe recession. At the
moment, we appear to have escaped a sharp downturn. Economic growth has
decelerated, but remains positive at this point in time. However, economic recessions
seem notoriously difficult to call and we may find that once economic data is revised, a
recession is already underway.
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Investment Perspectives Third Quarter 2007
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International stocks deserve consideration in virtually every stock portfolio and
investing globally today is amazingly easy and efficient. While the U.S. remains the economic engine of the world and international trade an increasingly vital component of growth, the world economy may be at a tipping point. The rise of a common European economic bloc, the European Union, and developing economies throughout Asia will drive increased economic interdependence in the coming decades and that translates to investment opportunities in both developed and developing countries.
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Investment Perspectives Second Quarter 2007
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Presently, virtually every stock market index is reaching an all-time high with the S&P 500 Index, a broadly followed measure of domestic stock prices, up over 20% from its lows of last summer. Even the brief downdraft in world stock markets, triggered by concerns over China’s economic growth this past March, seems like a distant memory as those sharp losses have been reversed by investors bidding stock prices
higher.
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Investment Perspectives First Quarter 2007
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Too often investors fixate on return and ignore an enduring aspect of investing
called risk. Risk has many definitions in finance theory most of which are not
particularly intuitive, but the one definition that is universally recognized and understood is losing money. Risk is omnipresent and, while it may recede to the dark corners of investors’ minds temporarily, the financial markets always find some way of bringing it into the light, often to the shock and surprise of investors.
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Investment Perspectives Second Quarter 2006
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The year of 2006 reminds investors of the risks inherent in investing and the fact
that one can lose money at any point in time, despite the long term clear upward bias in stock prices.
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